GBPUSD’s bounce from 1.5751 extended to 1.5989 only, the subsequent fall suggests that lengthier sideways consolidation in a trading range between 1.5751 and 1.6058 is underway. However, as long as 1.5751 support holds, uptrend could be expected to resume and one more rise towards 1.6298 (Nov 4, 2010 high) previous high is still possible. Only break below 1.5751 could indicate that the uptrend from 1.5344 had completed at 1.6058 already, then the following downward move could bring price back to 1.5500 area.
Archive for January, 2011
By Elliott Wave International
Since its creation in 1913, the primary intended role of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank has been that of protector. In theory, the central bank was bestowed with the power to shape monetary policy in a way that would keep both booms and busts in check. The two main tools at its disposal — interest rates and money creation — would provide a "ceiling of normalcy" above expansions AND a "net of safety" below contractions.
USDCHF remains in downtrend from 0.9783, the bounce from 0.9390 is treated as minor consolidation of downtrend. Range trading between 0.9390 and 0.9550 would likely be seen in a couple of days. As long as 0.9550 resistance holds, downtrend could be expected to resume and one more fall towards 0.9300 previous low is still possible. Only break above 0.9550 could indicate that the fall from 0.9783 had completed at 0.9390 already, then the following upward move could bring price back to 0.9600-0.9700 area.
USDCAD continues its sideways movement in a range between 0.9836 and 1.0033. As long as 1.0033 key resistance holds, the price action in the range is treated as consolidation of downtrend, and another fall towards 0.9600 is still possible. However, a break above 1.0033 will indicate that lengthier consolidation of downtrend is underway, then further rally could be seen to 1.0100-1.0200 area.
AUDUSD moved sideways in a trading range between 0.9803 and 1.0076. Lengthier consolidation in the range is expected in a couple of days. Key support is at 0.9803, a breakdown below this level will indicate that the downtrend from 1.0255 has resumed, then deeper decline could be seen to 0.9600 area. Key resistance is at 1.0076, above this level will suggest that the fall from 1.0255 had completed at 0.9803 already, then the following upward movement could bring price to 1.0200 zone.
AUDUSD stays in a trading range between 0.9803 and 1.0076. The price action in the trading range is more likely consolidation of downtrend from 1.0255. As long as 1.0076 resistance holds, downtrend could be expected to resume and one more fall towards 0.9600 is possible. Only break above 1.0076 will indicate that the fall from 1.0255 had completed at 0.9803 already.
Being supported by 0.9803, AUDUSD rebounded from 0.9832, however, another fall to re-test 0.9803 support is still possible later today, a breakdown below this level could trigger deeper decline to 0.9600 area. Resistance is at 0.9920, above this level will suggest that a cycle bottom has been formed at 0.9832 level on 4-hour chart, then further rise towards 1.0076 could be seen.
By Elliott Wave International
The big picture for Elliott wave analysis is five-wave patterns followed by three-wave patterns. Let’s look at the three-wave corrections more closely to get a bead on how they differ from one another. This excerpt from EWI’s Basic Tutorial describes in detail what you need to know about so-called zigzag and flat corrections to be able to recognize them on a price chart.
* * * * *
Excerpted from Lesson 3 of EWI’s Basic Tutorial
EURUSD remains in uptrend from 1.2874, the pullback from 1.3537 is treated as consolidation of uptrend. Deeper decline to 1.3300-1.3350 area to reach next cycle bottom on 4-hour chart is possible later today. Key support is at 1.3245, as long as this level holds, uptrend could be expected to resume and another rise towards 1.3800 could be seen after consolidation.
Other finance sites
Providing free forex articles and trading courses.