Daily Forex Analysis – May 1, 2012

AUDUSD Analysis.
AUDUSD is facing the support of the upward trend line on 4-hour chart. As long as the trend line support holds, we’d expect uptrend to resume, and another rise to 1.0550 is still possible. However, a clear break below the trend line will indicate that a cycle top has been formed at 1.0474, and the uptrend from 1.0246 has completed, then the following downward movement could bring price back to re-test 1.0225 previous low support.

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GBPUSD Analysis.
GBPUSD remains in uptrend from 1.5818, and the pullback from 1.6301 is likely consolidation of the uptrend. Support is at the upward trend line on 4-hour chart, as long as the trend line support holds, uptrend could be expected to resume after consolidation, and next target would be at 1.6400 area. On the other side, a clear break below the trend line will indicate that a cycle top has been formed at 1.6301, and the uptrend from 1.5818 has completed, then the following downward movement could bring price back to 1.6000 zone.

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EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD remains in uptrend from 1.2995. Support is at the lower border of the price channel on 4-hour chart, as long as the channel support holds, uptrend could be expected to continue, and next target would be at 1.3300-1.3350 area, only a clear break below the channel support could signal completion of the uptrend.

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USDJPY Analysis.
USDJPY breaks below 80.31 support and continues its downward movement from 84.17, and the fall extends to as low as 79.73. Further decline is still possible after a minor consolidation, and next target would be at 79.00-79.50 area.

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USDCAD Analysis.
USDCAD breaks above the downward trend line on 4-hour chart, suggesting that a cycle bottom has been formed at 0.9799, and the downtrend from 0.9978 has completed. Range trading between 0.9799 and 0.9950 would likely be seen in a couple of days.

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USDCHF Analysis.
USDCHF stays below a downward trend line on 4-hour chart, and remains in downtrend from 0.9250. One more fall to 0.9000 to complete the downward movement would likely be seen. On the upside, a clear break above the trend line will indicate that a cycle bottom has been formed, and the fall from 0.9250 has completed.

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