Daily Forex Analysis – April 14, 2010

AUDUSD Analysis.
Being contained by the lower boundary of the price channel on 4-hour chart, AUDUSD rebounded from 0.9223 level. Range trading between 0.9222 and 0.9381 is expected in a couple of days. Support is at 0.9222, below this level will indicate that a cycle top has been formed at 0.9381 level and the rise from 0.9001 has completed, then then deeper decline could be seen to 0.9165 or even 0.9100. Resistance is at 0.9381, only rise above this level could trigger another rise towards 0.9500 area.

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USDCAD Analysis.
USDCAD continues its sideways movement between 0.9977 and 1.0104. As long as 1.0104 resistance holds, another fall towards 0.9900 is still possible after consolidation, and a breakdown below 0.9977 could signal resumption of downtrend.

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USDCHF Analysis.
USDCHF’s downtrend from 1.0785 extends further to as low as 1.0511. Deeper decline is still possible in a couple of days and next target is to test 1.0434 support. Resistance is now at 1.0616, only break above this level could indicate that the fall from 1.0785 has completed.

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USDJPY Analysis.
USDJPY remains in downward movement from 94.68. Another fall towards 92.12 is still possible. Key resistance is at 93.78, a break above this level will indicate that a cycle bottom has been formed on 4-hour chart, and the fall from 94.68 has completed.

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EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD remains in uptrend from 1.3282 and the price action from 1.3691 is more likely consolidation of uptrend. Support is now at 1.3546, as long as this level holds, another rise to test 1.3817 key resistance is still possible, a break above this level will indicate that the longer term downtrend from 1.5144 (Nov 25, 2009 high) has completed at 1.3267 already.

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GBPUSD Analysis.
No changed in our view, GBPUSD remains in uptrend from 1.4798 and the fall from 1.5485 is more likely minor consolidation of uptrend. Support is locate at the uptrend line on 4-hour chart, as long as the trend line support holds, further rally could be expected after consolidation and next target would be at 1.5600 area.

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