Daily Forex Analysis – September 28, 2009

EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD has formed a short term cycle top at 1.4843 level on 4-hour chart. Further decline to 1.4500 zone would more likely be seen later today. Near term resistance is at 1.4724, as long as this level holds, we’d expect downtrend from 1.4843 to continue, however, a break above this level will suggest sideways consolidation between 1.4611 and 1.4843 is underway.

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USDJPY Analysis.
USDJPY drops sharply to as low as 88.24 level. Further fall to test 87.12 (Jan 21 low) long term critical support is possible in a couple of days. Near term resistance is at 89.50, as long as this level holds, downtrend from 92.53 will continue.

20090928_usdjpy_1

USDCAD Analysis.
USDCAD broke above 1.0925 key resistance and is now in uptrend from 1.0590. Near term support is located at 1.0859, as long as this level holds, we’d expect uptrend to continue and further rise to 1.1050-1.1100 area is possible later today.

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GBPUSD Analysis.
GBPUSD drops sharply below 1.5801 (June 8 low) support and reaches as low as 1.5770 so far. Deeper decline is still possible to 1.5500-1.5650 area later today. Near term resistance is at 1.5920 followed by 1.6050, as long as these levels hold, downtrend will continue.

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AUDUSD Analysis.
AUDUSD trades in a range between 0.8543 and 0.8788. The price action in the trading range is treated as consolidation of uptrend. As long as 0.8543 support holds, we’d expect uptrend to resume and further rise towards 0.8900 is possible after consolidation. However, a break below 0.8543 will take price to 0.8350-0.8400 area.

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USDCHF Analysis.
USDCHF has formed a short term cycle bottom at 1.0186 level on 4-hour chart. Further rise to test 1.0389 is expected later today, a break above this level will take price to 1.0450-1.0500 area. Near term support is at 1.0186, only fall below this level will indicate that the downtrend from 1.0698 has resumed.

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