Short Term Analysis – August 18, 2006

USDJPY

20060818_usdjpy_1.gifUSDJPY is bottoming on 4 hours chart, further rise above 116.74 previous high is possible in next several days. Key resistance is now at 116.37, a break above this level may signal the cycle bottom.

EURUSD

20060818_eurusd_1.gifEURUSD’s up trend is limited by the previous high resistance at 1.2911, pullback below 1.2695 previous low to reach the next cycle bottom is possible in next several days. Near term resistance is at 1.2886, only break above this level may signal the resumption of the up trend.

USDCAD

20060818_usdcad_1.gifUSDCAD rebounded from the bottom of the price channel on daily chart yesterday. It may be bottoming on 4 hours chart. Further rise higher to test 1.1317 previous high resistance is possible in the next several days. Near term support is at 1.1142, only break below this level may signal the resumption of the down trend.

GBPUSD

20060818_gbpusd_1.gifGBPUSD broke below the up trend line and pull back from 1.9023. It will fall lower to test the near term support at 1.8700-1.8770 area, and the next cycle bottom may locate on this area.

USDCHF

20060818_usdchf_1.gifUSDCHF may be bottoming on 4 hours chart and further rise above 1.2444 is possible in the next several days. Near term support is at 1.2237, only break below this level may signal the resumption of the down trend.

AUDUSD

20060818_audusd_1.gifAUDUSD is forming a sideways consolidation and testing the up trend line support, rebound from the up trend line is possible later today. One the other side, if this support gives way, the pair would fall below 0.7563 previous low.