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Archive for October, 2009

Daily Forex Analysis – October 13, 2009

Tuesday, October 13th, 2009

EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD failed to test the key support at 1.4649 and rebounded from 1.4672 level, suggesting that the pair is back to range trading between 1.4649 and 1.4816. Initial resistance is at 1.4816, a break above this level will indicate that the uptrend from 1.3748 (Jun 16 low) has resumed, then further rise is expected to 1.5000 area. On the down side, key support remains at 1.4649, below this level will indicate that a short term cycle top has been formed at 1.4816 level on 4-hour chart and the short term uptrend from 1.4484 has completed, then the following downtrend could take price to 1.4550 zone.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 12, 2009

Monday, October 12th, 2009

EURUSD Analysis.
Being contained by 1.4843 previous high resistance, EURUSD pulled back from 1.4816 last Friday, suggesting that a short term cycle top is being formed on 4-hour chart. Key support is now located at 1.4649, a break below this level will confirm the cycle top and indicate that the uptrend from 1.4484 has completed, then the following downtrend could take price back to 1.4550 area. However, a break above 1.4843 previous high will suggest that the uptrend from 1.3748 (Jun 16 low) has resumed, then further rise is expected to 1.5000 level.

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Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart

Saturday, October 10th, 2009

The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75-page eBook Independent Investor eBook. It’s a compilation of some of the New York Times bestselling author’s writings that challenge conventional financial market assumptions. Visit Elliott Wave International to download the eBook, free.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 9, 2009

Friday, October 9th, 2009

USDJPY Analysis.
USDJPY is in downtrend from 90.40. As long as resistance of the upper border of the falling price channel holds, we’d expected downtrend to continue and another fall could be seen to 87.50 zone. However, above the channel resistance will suggest lengthier consolidation of downtrend from 97.78 is underway, then the following rebound will take price to 89.50-90.00 area.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 8, 2009

Thursday, October 8th, 2009

GBPUSD Analysis.
GBPUSD continues to trade in a range between 1.5770 and 1.6125. As long as 1.6125 resistance holds, the price action from 1.5770 is treated as consolidation of downtrend from 1.6741. Moving sideways in the range is still in favor later today. Another fall below 1.5770 would more likely be seen after consolidation, a break below 1.5770 will indicate that the downtrend has resume, then deeper decline could be seen to 1.5600 zone.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 7, 2009

Wednesday, October 7th, 2009

USDCHF Analysis.
USDCHF breaks below 1.0283 support, suggesting that a short term cycle top has been formed at 1.0452 level on 4-hour chart. Deeper decline is possible to test 1.0186 previous low support in a couple of days, a breakdown below this level will indicate that the downtrend from 1.1021 (June 24 high) has resumed, then further fall could be seen to 1.0000-1.0100 area. Resistance is now at 1.0320, as long as this level holds, we’d expect short term downward trend from 1.0452 to continue.

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Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats Out Fundamental Analysis

Tuesday, October 6th, 2009

By Elliott Wave International

As the major stock markets turned down in late 2007 and then started to rally in March 2009, many people who believed in fundamental analysis have begun to question its validity.

Famed technical analyst and Elliott wave expert Robert Prechter has long called for the bear market we are now in the midst of. (He views the rally of 2009 to be a bear-market rally not the beginning of a new bull market.) But over the years, his methods of technical analysis have been criticized. Here are his most succinct arguments as to why wave analysis outdoes competing forms of analysis.

Learn the Wave Principle and Other Forms of Technical Analysis. Elliott Wave International has just released The Ultimate Technical Analysis Handbook. This FREE 50-page ebook is dedicated solely to teaching reformed fundamentals followers to incorporate technical analysis into their own investing decisions. Learn more and download your free copy here.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 6, 2009

Tuesday, October 6th, 2009

USDJPY Analysis.
USDJPY stays in a trading range between 88.24 and 90.40. As long as 90.40 key resistance holds, the price action from 88.24 is treated as consolidation of downtrend from 97.78 (Aug 7 high) and deeper decline to test 87.12 (Jan 21 low) support is possible after consolidation. However, a break above 90.40 will suggest that the downtrend from 97.78 has completed at 88.24 level already, then the following uptrend will take price to 92.00 or even 94.00.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 5, 2009

Monday, October 5th, 2009

EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD remains in downtrend from 1.4843 and the fall extended further to as low as 1.4484 level. Deeper decline to 1.4450-1.4480 area to reach the next short term cycle bottom is possible, and the next cycle bottom is nearing. Key resistance is located at 1.4673, a breakout of this level will indicate that a cycle bottom has been formed on 4-hour chart and the downtrend from 1.4843 has completed, then the following uptrend could bring price back to test 1.4843 previous high resistance.

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Daily Forex Analysis – October 2, 2009

Friday, October 2nd, 2009

EURUSD Analysis.
EURUSD’s downtrend from 1.4843 extends further to as low as 1.4502 level. Further fall is still possible later today and next target would be at 1.4450-1.4480 area. Key resistance is now located at 1.4673, as long as this level holds, downtrend from 1.4843 will continue, however, a break above this level will indicate that a short term cycle bottom has been formed on 4-hour chart and downtrend has completed, then the following  rebound could take price back to re-test 1.4843 previous high resistance.

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