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Short Term Analysis – August 28, 2006

EURUSD

20060828_eurusd_1.gifEURUSD is moving down to reach the next cycle bottom. Key resistance is at 1.2851, break above this level may signal the cycle bottom. Near term support is at 1.2695, it is more likely to be held by the end of this cycle. Slightly break below this support and rebound is another way to reach the next cycle bottom.


USDJPY

20060828_usdjpy_1.gifAs expected, USDJPY broke above 116.83 level. It is in up trend and further rise towards 118.00 is possible in the next couple of days. Near term support is the up trend line, now at 116.50 level, and as long as this up trend line support holds, up trend will continue.

USDCHF

20060828_usdchf_1.gifUSDCHF is in a ascending triangle pattern. This pattern implies the exhaustion of the up trend. Down trend may resume after breaking down this pattern. On the other side, the pair is still in up trend, and further rise above 1.2444 to reach the next cycle top is possible in the next couple of days.

USDCAD

20060828_usdcad_1.gifUSDCAD is in down trend, and I believe that the end of this down trend fell from 1.1457 is nearing. I don’t suggest to take short positions at this moment.

AUDUSD

20060828_audusd_1.gifAUDUSD is in down trend, further fall towards 0.7500 level is possible in the next couple of days. Key resistance is at 0.7668, only rise above this level may signal the resumption of the up trend.

GBPUSD

20060828_gbpusd_1.gifGBPUSD is forming a sideways consolidation in a range between 1.8774 and 1.9023 for about 15 business days. Break out this range is needed now. Key resistance is at 1.8994, break above this level may signal the resumption of the up trend and break below the near term support at 1.8774 would delay the resumption of the up trend.

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